Prediction of Filip Cristian Jianu vs Marco Trungelliti at Montemar Challenger 11-18-25

• In recent months, Marco Trungelliti has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 42.44% of points compared to Filip Cristian Jianu's 41.11%.
• When it comes to returning serves, Jianu has a slight advantage on second serve returns, winning 45.39% versus Trungelliti's 45.00%.
• Jianu's return game remains stronger on first serves, capturing 30.85% of points compared to Trungelliti's 29.47%.
• Under pressure, Trungelliti shows resilience, saving 60.77% of breakpoints faced against Jianu's 53.29%.
• Trungelliti has a stronger overall match win rate over the last year with 60.27% compared to Jianu's 50.00%.
• Both players show equal proficiency on clay, each boasting a career win percentage of 61% on this surface.
• Trungelliti's real distinction emerges in his performance at higher-level events, winning 68.52% of matches, significantly higher than Jianu’s 43.48% on similar tours.
• Trungelliti leads the head-to-head matchup, having won their only match to date 6-4, 6-4 on clay.
• Opponents faced by Trungelliti over the last year have been significantly higher ranked, with an average rank of 239.51 compared to Jianu’s 347.05.
• In closely contested matches, Trungelliti has a slightly better performance, winning 60% of deciding sets compared to Jianu’s 52%.
• Currently, Jianu demonstrates a higher breakpoint conversion rate, making 37.29% as opposed to Trungelliti’s 33.33%.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming matchup brings an intriguing clash of skills and recent form. Marco Trungelliti showcases a slight upper hand in several key areas, notably his second serve performance and ability to save breakpoints under pressure.

Filip Cristian Jianu, while strong on return games, especially on first serves, may find it challenging against Trungelliti’s experience and record in higher-level tournaments. The head-to-head and win-loss records suggest Trungelliti's familiarity with competitive opponents gives him an edge.

Although both players shine on clay with identical career win rates, Trungelliti’s resilience in deciding sets and superior recent form against higher-ranked players strengthen his position as the likely favorite.

Based on the evidence and recent trends, Marco Trungelliti is predicted to be the likely winner in the upcoming tennis match.